Graded against the closing line.
Updated daily. CLV asks whether the price beat where the market finished, and it is published for every board, including the negative ones. How it works.
The boards
Each sport is screened, logged and graded on its own. Open one for every pick it has ever made.
Soccer
College Football
NFL
NHL
NBA
paperSpread boards are in points, not percent, and the two do not average. On a spread the number moves, and a price-only percentage scores that as nothing. On the picks whose line held, the price comparison still works: +0.28% in college football over 102, -0.02% in the NFL over 43, +0.08% in the NBA over 30. Baseball is out of season and its board is hidden, but its 111 picks are still inside every site-wide figure.
Closing-line value by week
Each bar is the average CLV of every percent-scored pick graded that week, in percentage points of implied probability. The spread boards - college football, the NFL and the NBA - are measured in points and are not in these bars. The number beneath each one is how many closes it is built on; weeks under five are left out, because at that size the bar says more about the sample than the book.
Latest graded picks
The ten most recently settled, across every board.
| Date | Sport | Game | Pick | Entry | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Soccer | Udinese @ Venezia | Under 2.5 | -104 | -104 | +0.00% | L |
| 2026-11-06 | Soccer | Coventry City @ Everton | Under 2.5 | 112 | 120 | -1.72% | L |
| 2026-11-06 | Soccer | Borussia Moenchengladbach @ Hamburger SV | Under 2.5 | 114 | 122 | -1.68% | L |
| 2026-11-05 | Soccer | Hoffenheim @ Crystal Palace | Over 3.5 | 138 | 116 | +4.28% | L |
| 2026-11-05 | Soccer | Lech Poznan @ Benfica | Benfica -2.5 −2.5 | -114 | 128 | -9.41% | L |
| 2026-11-05 | Soccer | Lech Poznan @ Benfica | Over 3.5 | -130 | -164 | +5.60% | W |
| 2026-11-05 | NFL | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars −9.5 | -110 | -110 | 0.0 pts | W |
| 2026-11-05 | College Football | JMU @ Southern Miss | JMU −14.5 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 pts | W |
| 2026-11-05 | Soccer | Lyon @ Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad -1.5 −1.5 | 178 | 194 | -1.96% | L |
| 2026-11-05 | Soccer | Lech Poznan @ Benfica | Over 4.5 | 128 | -164 | +18.26% | L |
Members only
Bot Play of the Day
One pick a day gets crowned. It is not posted here, and it has not been posted publicly since 21 October 2026.
What the crown actually is
Of every pick the screeners log on a given day, one is flagged as the best play. It is ranked purely on price action: where the money sits against where the tickets sit, and how far the number has travelled since it opened. That is the same measure every board on this site is graded by.
What it ranks on
Price action, and only price action. The crown goes to the pick where the money and the tickets disagree most sharply and the number has already started to move. It is a reading of the market, not a prediction of the scoreboard, which is why it is graded on closing-line value first and the result second.
Why it is members-only
It goes out with the write-up attached and at the price actually taken, so it can be followed properly rather than screenshotted out of context. That is the whole reason it left X in October: a bare pick in a post is a tip, and this is a log.
Where to get it
The crowned pick, the reasoning behind it and the full row-by-row log are on Playbooki.
Get Bot Play of the Day →Three days free, then $20 a month. More on what is in the log.
Members
Everything I bet, as I bet it.
This site is the receipt: every headline number, every sport, free, including the boards where the number is negative. Check the bot before you trust it. The full row-by-row log, the write-ups behind the plays and the Bot Play of the Day are members-only, and the plays go out at the price I actually got, as I take them.
Card required for the trial. Cancel any time before it ends and you are not charged. Longer billing terms are discounted on Playbooki.
- Bot Play of the Day: the crowned pick, no longer posted publicly
- The complete pick log, every row and every sport, filterable
- Write-ups explaining what the screener saw and why the number moved
- Script plays, my own reads, always marked as mine
- Live plays and in-game bets, posted as I take them
- CFB card Saturdays, NFL card Sundays
- Exclusive parlays that never go out on X
- Full NFL attention board, all 32 teams including the quiet end
- Daily recaps with every pick graded